Fiat Chrysler, the world's seventh-largest automaker, announced on Monday (January 9) that the original plan to invest in Mexico will be transferred to the United States. This is Trump's latest achievement in the US auto company. In the past two weeks, Trump was not busy when he was waiting for his inauguration. He was good at "tweeting the country" and he did not bombard the American car on Twitter. Enterprises, many car companies under his "bullying" have indicated that they want to move the factory back to the United States and create jobs.
Although Trump’s credit for moving the car back to the United States on Twitter was all for himself, and proudly showing off how much employment he created for the United States, what Trump did not think was that he was the American people. Newly created jobs are likely to be taken away by robots in the future. In the latest report, Jefferies Group, a well-known investment institution, said that the spending on new plants in the US will be mainly used to upgrade equipment and increase automation. It will not increase as Trump expects. More employment.
Trump has repeatedly bombarded the car companies to build factories or plan to build factories outside the United States. Under his coercion, many car companies have indicated that they want to move the factories back to China. On January 3, Ford Motor Company announced that it will cancel its plan to invest $1.6 billion in Mexico, and will invest $700 million to expand its plant in Michigan. On January 6th, Trump pointed his gun at Toyota on Twitter, scaring Toyota to hurry to establish a factory in Mexico will not reduce the number of people employed in the United States. After Trump slammed General Motors for manufacturing Cruze cars in Mexico, GM claimed that in all Cruze sales in the United States in 2016, Mexico produced only 2.4% of total sales.
Judging from the reaction of the above-mentioned auto companies, everything seems to be developing as Trump expects, returning manufacturing to the United States and regaining the lost jobs of Americans.
Trump brought back the work to the robotBut Jefferies Group doesn't think so. It sends investors the message: "Sell manpower, buy robots."
In a report sent to customers on Tuesday, Jefferies said that the huge expenditures of manufacturers in setting up new plants and upgrading old ones will mainly be used to increase the automation of the factory, rather than creating the expectations of US President-design-President Trump. There are so many jobs. As the dollar strengthens and wage pressures rise, US companies need to increase their investment in automation.
Wall Street also expressed doubts about whether the automobile manufacturing industry in the Midwest could create more job opportunities.
“In 2017, a physical task in the high-cost labor market will only increase the chances of task automation,†Sanford C. Bernstein&Co. Analysts led by Michael Parker said in a report last month that "production activities may go home, but they can't bring jobs," and eventually the US may increase its investment in robotics as it does in China. If companies really invest in the United States, they need to increase productivity by reducing unit labor costs.
Robots and humans grab jobs, the world is like thisThe reason why the Trump administration is hoping for manufacturing is to promote US economic growth, increase employment opportunities, and boost domestic sales to compensate for the decline in exports. Although Trump brought these jobs back home, these jobs can be done by robots. In the context of high labor costs in the United States, it is only natural for car companies to consider using robots instead of labor, because capital is always Advance in the direction of low cost and high profit.
In fact, not only the United States, but the world is also facing the situation of robots and humans robbing work. A report was released at the 2016 Davos Forum, claiming that the use of new technologies such as robotics and artificial intelligence will replace 5.1 million jobs in the world's 15 leading countries over the next five years. Such a report is based on a survey of 65% of the global workforce. The reason for the figure of 5.1 million is that the new technology has spawned 2 million new jobs while reducing 7.1 million jobs.
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